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A Lesson in Common Stocks:
Value Line Steps in Selecting Specific Stocks for Your Portfolio
THE ECONOMY AND VALUE LINE'S MARKET STRATEGY |
TIMELY INDUSTRIES |
TIMELY STOCKS |
TIMELY STOCKS WITHIN TIMELY INDUSTRIES |
THE BIG PICTURE |
SAFETY CONSTRAINTS |
DIVIDEND REQUIREMENTS
THE ECONOMY AND VALUE LINE'S MARKET STRATEGY
First
, read Value Line's current
summary and opinion of the economy, the stock market, and
advisable investment strategy entitled `"The Value Line
Equity View" in Selection &Opinion.
Remember that it is not necessary for the ordinary investor, who usually has other business interests, to
read everything that is published. The service is so
organized that it can also be used as a reference. You can look in
the Summary & Index every week to find updated
references about stocks that you own or in which you may
be interested. The stock ranks also provide you with buy
and sell recommendations, which you may act upon.
We must caution that a prudent investor ought
to think of stocks as components of a portfolio, rather
than as single entities. Diversification reduces the overall
risk of stocks within a portfolio to below that involved in
holding one single stock. Diversification is an important
advantage, long recognized by sophisticated investors, yet
often ignored by many who think in terms of single
stocks without reference to the portfolio as a whole.
TIMELY INDUSTRIES
Second, look at the industries ranked in order
of Timeliness in the screen on page 24 of the
weekly Summary &Index. To be sure that your portfolio
is diversified, pick from that list at least six industries
shown to be most timelyi.e., those industries ranked
one through six.
TIMELY STOCKS
Third, look to the 100 stocks ranked 1 (Highest)
and the 300 ranked 2 (Above Average) for Timeliness.
These ranks for relative performance for the next six to
12 months appear in both Ratings&
Reportsand in the weekly Summary
&Index. (Once a stock ranked 1 or 2 for Timeliness has been bought, it may be held until its
rank drops to a 3, 4, or 5.)
TIMELY STOCKS WITHING TIMELY INDUSTRIES
Fourth, pick at least six or more stocks that are in the
top six industries. Then, if possible, pick at least four
or more stockseither those that also have Safety ranks
of 1 or 2 and are within the top 12 industries or those
that are ranked 1 or 2 for Timeliness or Safety, even though
the industry isn't top ranked. To narrow the list, follow
steps five through seven. Remember that the suggested
diversification is ten or more stocks.
THE BIG PICTURE
Fifth, read the industry comments that precede
the stock report to see the big picture of the long-term
growth patterns of earnings and values for stocks in the
industries you are interested in.
SAFETY CONSTRAINTS
Sixth, from the stocks selected so far, choose
those that also conform to your Safety requirements.
If you are a conservative investor, or if you think
the market is headed lower, give preference to stocks ranked
1 or 2 for Safety.
If you are bullish on the market and are willing to
buy more volatile, or riskier, stocks, accept those with
lower Safety rankings from 3 down to 5.
A low Safety rank may be acceptable when the
market is undervalued. At such a time, riskier stocks are
usually depressed. Since they are apt to be more volatile, they
are capable of rising faster when confidence in the market
is restored.
DIVIDEND REQUIREMENTS
Seventh, select from the remaining choices stocks
that meet your current dividend requirements. Dividends for
the coming year are shown in the Summary & Index
and on Ratings& Reportspages, as well as in many
screens and articles that appear in Selection &
Opinion. Bear in mind that it may be difficult to find a stock that is ideal on all counts. It
may be necessary to trade off, accepting a lower Timeliness
or Safety rank, or a lower dividend yield, depending upon
the relative importance of your various goals. For
example, conservative investors may at times have to select
stocks ranked 3 for either Safety or Timeliness.
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